Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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The Arizona Diamondbacks versus San Diego Padres game on Saturday at 8:10 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Ketel Marte and Jurickson Profar. Bookmakers list the Diamondbacks as -173 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Padres +144 moneyline odds. Arizona (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the matchup has been set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Padres 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 85 games this season and won 52 (61.2%) of those contests.
• Arizona has entered 27 games this season favored by -173 or more and is 20-7 in those contests.
• The Diamondbacks have a 63.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (54.4%) in those games.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win six times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +144 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 41% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

SD 5 · AZ 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+185

O 9

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-225

U 9

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte supplies the Diamondbacks with a shot of both power and average, leading the team in homers with 35 and hitting at .292. He has also driven in 93 runs this season.
• Marte ranks 10th in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Corbin Carroll is hitting .232 with 21 doubles, 14 triples, 22 home runs and 72 walks.
• Carroll is 56th in homers and 57th in RBI in the majors.
• Carroll has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with 99 runs batted in.
• Christian Walker is batting .249 with 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 55 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
• The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks while batting .280.
• Profar is 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Manny Machado has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 29 home runs and 105 runs batted in.
• Machado ranks 23rd overall in home runs and ninth in RBI this season.
• Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks while batting .292.
• Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-leading batting average of .314.

Padres Team Props

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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