Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 12:01 p.m. ET

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres will play on Saturday at Chase Field, at 8:10 p.m. ET, with Ketel Marte and Jurickson Profar among those expected to deliver at the plate. The Diamondbacks are the favorite in this one, at -186, while the underdog Padres have +155 odds to upset. Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +111 odds). The total for the game is listed at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Padres 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have won 52 out of the 85 games, or 61.2%, in which they've been favored.
• Arizona has a record of 12-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -186 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 65% chance to win.
• The Padres have won in 31, or 54.4%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Sun 12:10 AM

SDPA

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+155

O 9

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-186

U 9

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks went 4-4 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 35 home runs while accumulating a team-best batting average of .292.
• Marte's home runs put him 10th in MLB, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Corbin Carroll is batting .232 with 21 doubles, 14 triples, 22 home runs and 72 walks.
• Carroll is 56th in home runs and 57th in RBI on the season.
• Carroll has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez has racked up a team-best 99 runs batted in.
• Christian Walker is hitting .249 with 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 55 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
• The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .380.
• Profar's home run total puts him 42nd in MLB, and he ranks 35th in RBI.
• Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs with 105 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Machado is currently 23rd in homers and ninth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks while batting .292.
• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .314.

Padres Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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