Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

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Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks will square off against the San Diego Padres and Manny Machado on Sunday at 3:10 p.m. ET, at Chase Field. The favored Diamondbacks have -225 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +185. Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at -110 odds). The game's over/under has been set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Padres 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 52, or 60.5%, of those games.
• This season Arizona has won four of its five games when favored by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 69.2%.
• The Padres have won in 32, or 55.2%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on San Diego this season with a +185 moneyline set for this game.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 2 · AZ 11

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+178

O 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-216

U 8.5

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and finished 4-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks with 35 home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .291.
• Marte's home runs rank him 10th in the majors, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Carroll has 22 doubles, 14 triples, 22 home runs and 72 walks while batting .232.
• Carroll ranks 56th in home runs and 59th in RBI on the year.
• Carroll carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez has put up a team-high 99 runs batted in.
• Christian Walker is hitting .250 with 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 55 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .280.
• Profar ranks 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Machado been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 105 RBI.
• Machado ranks 23rd in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks.
• Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .314.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 09/29/2024

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