Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Merrill Kelly will start for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday at Chase Field against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET in this final game of a four-game series. The favored Diamondbacks have -118 moneyline odds against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at -102. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -106 odds to hit the over and -114 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks highlights on Saturday, August 10.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 53%, Phillies 47%

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have won 35 out of the 56 games, or 62.5%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Arizona has won 32 of its 51 games, or 62.7%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• The Phillies have come away with 11 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

PHI 5 · AZ 12

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-130

O 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

+110

U 8.5

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks went 5-1 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Diamondbacks have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Not only does Ketel Marte lead the Diamondbacks in hitting with his .299 average, he also is their premier power option with 30 home runs and 81 RBI.
• Marte's home runs place him fifth in the majors, and he ranks ninth in RBI.
• Marte brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two home runs, five walks and three RBI.
• Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, 10 triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks while batting .217.
• Carroll ranks 143rd in home runs and 116th in RBI in the majors.
• Carroll heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .241 with 19 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
• Bell is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .265 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 19 walks.
• Gurriel has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double and three walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 3-4.
• The Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Phillies have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• The Phillies are led in runs batted in by Bohm with a mark of 78, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .298.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Bohm's home run total is 115th and his RBI tally is 12th.
• Bohm carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .341 with five doubles, a triple, a home run and six RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .281 with 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 57 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Harper ranks 11th in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 27 long balls.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .243 with 23 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 30 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks highlights on Saturday, August 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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