Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2024 9:03 p.m. ET

Rowdy Tellez and the Pittsburgh Pirates take the field against Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Friday at 9:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Diamondbacks as -171 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +143 moneyline odds to win. Arizona is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 26, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -171 +143 8.5 -101 -120 -1.5 +125 -149

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 54%, Pirates 46%

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 26 (57.8%) of those contests.
  • Arizona is 11-5 this season when entering a game favored by -171 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • The Pirates have won in 29, or 49.2%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 5-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +143 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.2% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
PIT 3 · AZ 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have a 3-1 record from the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
  • The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 14
ERA 3.33
K/9 6.5

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • The Diamondbacks best hitter thus far this season is Ketel Marte, who's hitting at a team-leading .296 clip along with 22 homers and 64 RBI.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Marte ranks 12th in homers and 18th in RBI.
  • Marte carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Walker has shown his power as he paces his team with 23 home runs and 70 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league batters, Walker is ninth in homers and eighth in RBI.
  • Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, six triples, six home runs and 43 walks while hitting .210.
  • Carroll has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .261 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks.
  • Gurriel is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .158 with .

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+150)
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Joc Pederson 0.5 (-190) 1.5 () 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+150)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+210)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4
HR 5
ERA 2.10
K/9 8.1

Pirates Player Insights

  • Oneil Cruz is hitting .250 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .304.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz is 49th in homers and 46th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .226 with 12 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 44 walks.
  • McCutchen is currently 72nd in homers and 207th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Connor Joe has 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks while batting .243.
  • Tellez is hitting .249 with 10 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+195)
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+185)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+215)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-195) 0.5 () 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+250)

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