Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks take on Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates are listed as +152 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Diamondbacks (-182). Arizona is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, July 27th.
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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -182 +152 8.5 -104 -116 -1.5 +117 -139

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 54%, Pirates 46%

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won 28, or 59.6%, of the 47 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Arizona has entered 11 games this season favored by -182 or more and is 9-2 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 64.5% chance to win.
  • The Pirates have won in 29, or 47.5%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +152 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
PIT 6 ยท AZ 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and finished 4-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 16
ERA 3.74
K/9 7.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • The Diamondbacks leader in both batting average and home runs is Marte, who comes into the matchup hitting .296 and has left the yard 23 times while driving in 68 runs this season.
  • In all of MLB, Marte ranks 10th in home runs and 12th in RBI.
  • Marte brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .444 with a double, four home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
  • Christian Walker has hit 23 home runs with 71 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
  • Walker ranks 10th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Corbin Carroll is hitting .212 with 16 doubles, seven triples, seven home runs and 45 walks.
  • Carroll has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a triple, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .265 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks.
  • Gurriel has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with .

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Jake McCarthy 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+230)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 6
ERA 3.38
K/9 7.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Oneil Cruz is batting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 44th in home runs and 49th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • McCutchen has 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 45 walks while batting .224.
  • McCutchen is 78th in homers and 204th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Connor Joe is hitting .238 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
  • Rowdy Tellez has 10 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks while batting .248.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+155)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-200) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+200)

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, July 27th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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