Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2023 4:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Corbin Carroll and Jonathan India are the hottest hitters on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds, who meet on Saturday at Great American Ball Park, at 4:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Diamondbacks as -114 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Reds -105 moneyline odds to win. Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +134 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 11 runs.

The starting pitchers are Brandon Pfaadt for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and Brandon Williamson (1-2) for the Cincinnati Reds.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks	-114	-105	11	-106	-114	-1.5	+134	-158

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Diamondbacks 5
Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Reds 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have won 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 games they've played as favorites this season.
Arizona has entered 42 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 28-14 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 53.3% chance to win.
The Reds have won in 34, or 48.6%, of the 70 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 30 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks went 2-1 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	13
ERA	5.86
K/9	7.5

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Diamondbacks Player Insights

Carroll is stellar at getting on base when he's at the plate. Carroll leads the Diamondbacks this season with a .362 OBP and 95 base hits.
Of all hitters in the majors, Carroll's home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally puts him 53rd.
Ketel Marte is batting .286 to lead his team.
Among all MLB hitters, Marte ranks 32nd in home runs and 38th in RBI.
Marte heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, two triples, two home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.
Christian Walker has accumulated a team-best 20 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks while batting .260.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Corbin Carroll	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
Evan Longoria	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+250)	0.5 (+115)
Gabriel Moreno	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Nick Ahmed	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+105)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 1-4 in those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Reds have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4
HR	12
ERA	3.60
K/9	8.2

Reds Player Insights

India paces the Reds with 14 long balls.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, India's home run total ranks 64th and his RBI tally ranks 53rd.
India has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .429 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Spencer Steer has shown off his power as he paces his team with 14 home runs.
Steer ranks 64th in homers and 38th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Jake Fraley has racked up a team-high 56 runs batted in.
TJ Friedl leads the Reds with a .284 batting average.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jonathan India	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+175)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+140)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+210)
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+215)

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