Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 7:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will take the field on Friday at Yankee Stadium against Brandon Pfaadt, who is the named starter for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are -116 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Yankees (-103). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). An 8.5-run total is set for the game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Pfaadt (2-8, 5.86 ERA), who is looking for win No. 3 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Luke Weaver (2-5, 6.77 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: YES

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks	-116	-103	8.5	-108	-112	-1.5	+142	-168

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Diamondbacks 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Yankees 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 40 (60.6%) of those contests.
Arizona has a record of 39-22, a 63.9% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
The Yankees have come away with 25 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, New York has won 21 of 48 games when listed as at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Diamondbacks have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice, and they split those games.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Diamondbacks' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	6
ERA	4.50
K/9	8.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .288.
In all of MLB, Carroll ranks 40th in homers and 70th in RBI.
Carroll takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .311 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Ketel Marte is batting .279 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks.
Marte ranks 48th in homers in MLB, and 45th in RBI.
Marte enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (30) and runs batted in (94).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .265.
Gurriel is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, a home run, a walk and seven RBI.

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	7
ERA	3.78
K/9	9.8

Yankees Player Insights

Gleyber Torres paces the Yankees with 66 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .273.
Torres' home run total places him 40th in the majors, and he ranks 92nd in RBI.
Torres has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
Judge has shown off his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs.
Judge ranks 15th in homers and 101st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .209 with 21 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 50 walks.
DJ LeMahieu is batting .242 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 54 walks.