Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Ketel Marte will square off against the New York Yankees and Aaron Judge on Monday at 1:05 PM ET, in the final of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are listed as -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Diamondbacks (-117). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -117 odds to hit the over and -102 odds on the under).

The Diamondbacks will start Merrill Kelly (12-7) versus the Yankees and Clarke Schmidt (9-9).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 25, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks	-117	-102	7.5	-117	-102	-1.5	+141	-167

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Yankees 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have won 41, or 60.3%, of the 68 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Arizona has won 39 of its 60 games, or 65%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
The Yankees have come away with 26 wins in the 60 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
New York has a win-loss record of 22-26 when favored by -102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have a 2-2 record over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Diamondbacks have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	6
ERA	4.40
K/9	8.9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll is the Diamondbacks best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .287 clip along with 25 homers and 72 RBI.
Carroll ranks 44th in homers and 73rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Marte is hitting .279 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks.
Marte is 50th in homers in the majors, and 48th in RBI.
Marte enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Christian Walker has put up a team-high 31 home runs and 97 runs batted in.
Walker is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .262.

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	10
ERA	4.09
K/9	8.9

Yankees Player Insights

Gleyber Torres paces the Yankees with a team-high batting average of .270.
Torres ranks 44th in homers and 99th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Judge has hit 35 home runs with 71 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
Judge is currently 13th in homers and 77th in RBI in the major leagues.
Anthony Volpe is batting .208 with 22 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 51 walks.
DJ LeMahieu is hitting .243 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 57 walks.