Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The NLDS starts Saturday at 9:20 PM ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks live from Dodger Stadium, and airing on TBS. The favored Dodgers have -195 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +164. Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw (13-5) versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (12-8).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 9:20 PM ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -195 +164 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +104 -124

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 59%, Diamondbacks 41%

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 137 times this season and won 87, or 63.5%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 26-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -195 on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 43, or 48.3%, of the 89 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Arizona has come away with a win four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers went 6-4 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Dodgers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 11
ERA 3.58
K/9 9.6

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Mookie Betts leads the Dodgers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Betts is sixth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
  • Betts brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with four walks and two RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .334 to pace his team.
  • Freeman ranks 30th in homers in baseball, and 12th in RBI.
  • Max Muncy has 17 doubles, a triple, 36 home runs and 85 walks while batting .212.
  • Will Smith has 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .261.
  • Smith takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Smith 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+195)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+155)
Freddie Freeman 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+180)
Max Muncy 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks had a record of 2-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 7
ERA 2.86
K/9 9.6

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .287.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 70th in RBI.
  • Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
  • Walker is currently 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+205)
Alek Thomas 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+300)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+245)
Evan Longoria 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+255)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+185)
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