Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7
Updated
Oct. 7, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The NLDS starts Saturday at 9:20 PM ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks live from Dodger Stadium, and airing on TBS. The favored Dodgers have -195 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +164. Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.
The Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw (13-5) versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (12-8).
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds
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- When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 9:20 PM ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers | -195 | +164 | 8.5 | -107 | -113 | -1.5 | +104 | -124 |
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
- Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Dodgers 59%, Diamondbacks 41%
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 137 times this season and won 87, or 63.5%, of those games.
- Los Angeles has a record of 26-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -195 on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 43, or 48.3%, of the 89 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Dodgers Recent Betting Performance
- The Dodgers went 6-4 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
- The Dodgers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Dodgers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
HR | 11 |
ERA | 3.58 |
K/9 | 9.6 |
Dodgers Player Insights
- Mookie Betts leads the Dodgers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
- Among all MLB hitters, Betts is sixth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
- Betts brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with four walks and two RBI.
- Freddie Freeman is hitting .334 to pace his team.
- Freeman ranks 30th in homers in baseball, and 12th in RBI.
- Max Muncy has 17 doubles, a triple, 36 home runs and 85 walks while batting .212.
- Will Smith has 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .261.
- Smith takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Dodgers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Will Smith | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+170) |
Mookie Betts | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+195) |
J.D. Martínez | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+155) |
Freddie Freeman | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+180) |
Max Muncy | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+285) | 0.5 (+140) |
Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.
Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance
- In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks had a record of 2-2.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Diamondbacks Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
HR | 7 |
ERA | 2.86 |
K/9 | 9.6 |
Diamondbacks Player Insights
- Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .287.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 70th in RBI.
- Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
- Walker is currently 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.
Diamondbacks Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+205) |
Alek Thomas | 0.5 (-149) | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+300) |
Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 (-179) | 0.5 (-179) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+245) |
Evan Longoria | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+255) |
Christian Walker | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+185) |
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