Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11

Updated Oct. 11, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

The Los Angeles Dodgers will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in the third game of the NLDS on Wednesday at 9:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Chase Field. The Dodgers will look to avoid being swept after losing the first two games of the series. The favored Dodgers have -134 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +113. Los Angeles is a 1.5-run favorite (at +114 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for the game.

The Dodgers are set to start Lance Lynn (13-11, 5.73 ERA) against the Diamondbacks and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 9:07 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -134 +113 9.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +114 -136

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 139 times this season and won 87, or 62.6%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles is 71-41 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 91 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (49.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Arizona has been victorious 26 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Dodgers' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.4

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Mookie Betts has a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Betts is seventh in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman is batting .331 to lead his team.
  • Including all major league hitters, Freeman ranks 30th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
  • Max Muncy is hitting .212 with 17 doubles, a triple, 36 home runs and 85 walks.
  • Will Smith is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 63 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Max Muncy 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+265) 0.5 (+135)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+125)
Mookie Betts 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+160)
Freddie Freeman 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Will Smith 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Diamondbacks have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 12
ERA 2.53
K/9 9.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.
  • Carroll's home run total places him 46th in the majors, and he ranks 66th in RBI.
  • Carroll carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double, two home runs, six walks and four RBI.
  • Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Walker is 16th in homers and 12th in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while batting .276.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .261 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+195)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
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