Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium in the final of a three-game series, on Thursday at 9:10 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are -101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Dodgers (-119). Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +164 odds). The total for the matchup has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani slams a two-run home run vs. Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani slammed a two-run home run vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 9:10 PM ET
Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet LA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers	-119	-101	8.5	-103	-117	-1.5	+164	-197

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Dodgers 58%, Diamondbacks 42%

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Dodgers have won 51, or 63%, of the 81 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Los Angeles has won 49 of its 77 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 54.3% chance to win.
The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 18, or 40%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Arizona has won 16 of 38 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

The Dodgers went 6-3 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Dodgers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
The Dodgers' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	11
ERA	4.15
K/9	7.8

Dodgers Player Insights

Shohei Ohtani is the bat to watch in the Dodgers lineup, leading the team in batting average (.319), home runs (27), and RBI (64).
Among all hitters in MLB, Ohtani's home run total places him second, and his RBI tally puts him fifth.
Ohtani takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
Freeman has 25 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .302.
Freeman is 42nd in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Freeman heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
Teoscar Hernandez has 17 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .254.
Hernandez has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
Will Smith is batting .268 with 18 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 28 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Austin Barnes	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+310)
Chris Taylor	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Diamondbacks have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	9
ERA	6.19
K/9	7.6

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .286.
Among all hitters in MLB, Marte ranks 17th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Walker has hit 20 home runs with 59 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
Walker ranks eighth in homers and ninth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .268 with 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks.
Corbin Carroll has 13 doubles, six triples, two home runs and 38 walks while hitting .210.