Dodgers vs. Mets NLCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 16

Dodgers vs. Mets NLCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 16

Updated Oct. 16, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Dodgers will visit the New York Mets in the third game of the NLCS on Wednesday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. The teams split the first two games of the series and will look to break the tie and take one step closer to the World Series with a victory. Oddsmakers list the Dodgers as -112 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets -108 moneyline odds. Los Angeles is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). A 7.5-run over/under is set in this game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Mets: Who has the Advantage? Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, and David Ortiz | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew discussed which team has the advantage in the NLCS: The Los Angeles Dodgers or New York Mets?
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Dodgers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 16, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -112 -108 7.5 -114 -106 -1.5 +148 -179

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Dodgers 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 52%, Mets 48%

Dodgers vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 148 times this season and won 94, or 63.5%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 93-54 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (46.5%) in those games.
  • New York has a mark of 31-35 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
LAD 8 · NYM 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
New York Mets
NYM

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers have a 6-2 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Dodgers combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Dodgers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 16
ERA 3.44
K/9 8.2

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Not only does Shohei Ohtani lead the Dodgers in hitting with his .310 average, he also is their premier power option with 54 home runs and 130 RBI.
  • Ohtani ranks second in homers and second in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
  • Freeman is 58th in homers and 28th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+135)
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+175)
Max Muncy 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+155)
Kiké Hernández 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+285)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.45
K/9 8.7

Mets Player Insights

  • The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
  • In all of the majors, Lindor ranks 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
  • Alonso is 12th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 29th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
  • Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while batting .253.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+190)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+165)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+210)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+225)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+255)

Dodgers vs. Mets: Who has the Advantage? Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, and David Ortiz | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew discussed which team has the advantage in the NLCS: The Los Angeles Dodgers or New York Mets?

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New York Mets
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