Dodgers vs. Mets NLCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 17

Dodgers vs. Mets NLCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 17

Updated Oct. 17, 2024 5:01 a.m. ET

The NLCS rolls on Thursday at 8:08 p.m. ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. The Dodgers would take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a Game 4 win, while the Dodgers hope to tie the series up heading into Game 5. Oddsmakers list the Dodgers as -135 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +115 moneyline odds to win. Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Mets Game 3: Max Muncy, Walker Buehler & Kiké Hernández Postgame Interviews

Max Muncy, Walker Buehler & Kiké Hernández spoke on the Los Angeles Dodgers' 8-0 win over the New York Mets in Game 3 of the NLCS.
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Dodgers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -135 +115 7.5 +103 -124 -1.5 +128 -152

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Dodgers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 51%, Mets 49%

Dodgers vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 149 times this season and won 95, or 63.8%, of those games.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 76 of its 118 games, or 64.4%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • The Mets have won in 33, or 45.8%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a mark of 19-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Fri 12:08 AM
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
New York Mets
NYM

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers have a 6-2 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Dodgers' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 16
ERA 3.13
K/9 8.2

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Shohei Ohtani's 54 home runs and 130 RBI both lead the Dodgers, in addition to his team-high .310 average.
  • In all of the majors, Ohtani is second in homers and second in RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman is batting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
  • Freeman is 58th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Teoscar Hernandez is batting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+160) - 0.5 (+175)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+180)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+180)
Andy Pages 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+265)
Tommy Edman 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
  • The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.72
K/9 8.7

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 91 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .273.
  • Lindor's home run total places him 14th in MLB, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is 12th in homers and 29th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
  • Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .253.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+205)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+280)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+190)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+210)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+285)

Dodgers vs. Mets Game 3: Max Muncy, Walker Buehler & Kiké Hernández Postgame Interviews

Max Muncy, Walker Buehler & Kiké Hernández spoke on the Los Angeles Dodgers' 8-0 win over the New York Mets in Game 3 of the NLCS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New York Mets
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