Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 14

Updated Jul. 14, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

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Julio Urias will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for this first game in a three-game series. The Dodgers are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Mets have -105 odds to upset. Los Angeles (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -104 odds to hit the over and -115 odds to go under).

The Dodgers will give the ball to Urias (6-5) versus the Mets and Justin Verlander (3-4).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Dodgers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 14, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Dodgers 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities:

Dodgers vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have won 45 out of the 76 games, or 59.2%, in which they've been favored.
• Los Angeles has a record of 45-30, a 60% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• The Mets have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (32.3%) in those contests.
• New York has a win-loss record of 7-18 when favored by -105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers went 7-3 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
• The Dodgers' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

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Dodgers Player Insights

• Mookie Betts has gone yard 26 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 62 runs, both totals that lead the Dodgers.
• Betts is third in homers and seventh in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Betts has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with three doubles, four home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is batting .323 to pace his team.
• Including all major league hitters, Freeman is 23rd in home runs and 10th in RBI.
• Freeman has six straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .341 with four doubles, three home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
• Will Smith is batting .279 with nine doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 44 walks.
• Smith has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• J.D. Martinez's 62 runs batted in lead his team.
• Martinez has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, three home runs, three walks and six RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is batting .239 with 20 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 36 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .320.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Lindor's home run total ranks 14th and his RBI tally is 12th.
• Lindor has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .455 with two triples, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 26 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
• Alonso ranks third overall in home runs and 10th in RBI this season.
• Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best batting average of .266.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .253 with 13 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks.

Mets Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Dodgers vs Mets!

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