Dodgers vs. Padres NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The NLDS kicks off Saturday at 8:38 p.m. ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres live from Dodger Stadium, and airing on Fox Sports 1. The Padres are listed as +119 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Dodgers (-140). Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup is set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Dodgers: Shohei Ohtani's postseason debut | NLDS Game 1 | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew preview the San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers and discuss Shohei Ohtani's postseason debut.

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Padres 46%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 143 times and won 91, or 63.6%, of those games.
• Los Angeles is 66-38 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 58.3% chance to win.
• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (54.2%) in those games.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

SD 5 · LAD 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+118

O 8

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

-1.5

-139

U 8

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 8-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Dodgers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani's 54 long balls and 130 RBI both lead the Dodgers, in addition to his team-high .310 average.
• Ohtani is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ohtani takes a hitting streak of 12 games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .628 with six doubles, six home runs, four walks and 20 RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is hitting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
• Freeman is 58th in homers and 28th in RBI on the year.
• Freeman carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Mookie Betts is batting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.
• Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Profar's home run total puts him 42nd in the majors, and he ranks 35th in RBI.
• Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs with 105 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Machado ranks 24th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and ninth in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .314.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Dodgers: Shohei Ohtani's postseason debut | NLDS Game 1 | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew preview the San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers and discuss Shohei Ohtani's postseason debut.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres

share

in this topic

Major League Baseball

Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres

MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/06/2024

Gambling