Dodgers vs. Padres NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 4, 2024 2:01 a.m. ET

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The NLDS begins on Saturday when the Los Angeles Dodgers play host to the San Diego Padres. Action begins at 8:38 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium, and can be watched on Fox Sports 1. The Padres have been listed as +115 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Dodgers (-135). Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Padres 46%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 143 times this season and won 91, or 63.6%, of those games.
• This season Los Angeles has won 73 of its 113 games, or 64.6%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 57.4% chance to win.
• The Padres have come away with 32 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win 11 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Sun 12:38 AM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+115

O 7.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

-1.5

-135

U 7.5

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 8-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Dodgers' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani has a team-best batting average of .310, and leads the Dodgers in home runs (54) and runs batted in (130).
• Ohtani's home runs rank him second in the majors, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Ohtani has collected a hit in 12 games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .628 with six doubles, six home runs, four walks and 20 RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is batting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
• Of all MLB batters, Freeman is 58th in homers and 28th in RBI.
• Freeman carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Mookie Betts is batting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.
• Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Among all batters in MLB, Profar is 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI.
• Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs with 105 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Machado ranks 24th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and ninth in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .292.
• Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a .314 batting average.

Padres Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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