Dodgers vs. Padres NLDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11
Updated
Oct. 10, 2024 6:01 a.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the San Diego Padres in the fifth and final game of the NLDS on Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on FOX from Dodger Stadium. The winner will advance to the NLCS after the teams split the first four games of the series. Bookmakers list the Dodgers as -141 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Padres +120 moneyline odds. Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this contest (with -116 odds on the over and -104 odds to go under).
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Dodgers SURVIVE Padres, Game 4 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez & Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX
The "MLB on FOX" crew react to the Los Angeles Dodgers' Game 4 win over the San Diego Padres.
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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, October 11, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -141 | +120 | 7.5 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +150 | -181 |
Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Dodgers 57%, Padres 43%
Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have been favorites in 145 games this season and won 92 (63.4%) of those contests.
- Los Angeles has entered 105 games this season favored by -141 or more and is 66-39 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 58.5% chance to win.
- The Padres have won in 33, or 54.1%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, San Diego has come away with a win 11 times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Dodgers Recent Betting Performance
- The Dodgers have a 6-2 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
- The Dodgers have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Dodgers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Dodgers Player Insights
- Not only does Shohei Ohtani lead the Dodgers in hitting with his .310 average, he also paces the squad with 54 home runs and 130 RBI.
- Among all MLB hitters, Ohtani is fifth in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
- Ohtani carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
- Freddie Freeman is hitting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
- Freeman is 58th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- Mookie Betts has 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks while batting .289.
- Betts has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
- Teoscar Hernandez is batting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.
- Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with a double, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBI.
Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Padres have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Padres Player Insights
- Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .280.
- In all of the majors, Profar ranks 42nd in homers and 35th in RBI.
- Profar takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three walks and an RBI.
- Manny Machado has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 29 home runs and 105 RBI.
- Machado is 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
- Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .314.
Dodgers SURVIVE Padres, Game 4 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez & Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX
The "MLB on FOX" crew react to the Los Angeles Dodgers' Game 4 win over the San Diego Padres.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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