Dodgers vs. Padres NLDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11

Updated Oct. 11, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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The NLDS wraps up Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres live on FOX from Dodger Stadium. Both teams enter Game 5 looking for a pivotal win and a spot in the NLCS. The Dodgers are the favorite in this one, at -146, while the underdog Padres have +123 odds to upset. Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). The total is 8 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 11, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Padres 46%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 145 times and won 92, or 63.4%, of those games.
• Los Angeles is 65-37 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• The Padres have won in 33, or 54.1%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• San Diego has a mark of 11-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 0 · LAD 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+124

O 8

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

-1.5

-148

U 8

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers went 6-2 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Dodgers have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani is the bat to watch in the Dodgers lineup, leading the team in batting average (.310), home runs (54), and RBI (130).
• Ohtani's home runs put him second in MLB, and he is second in RBI.
• Ohtani has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Freddie Freeman has 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while hitting .282.
• Freeman ranks 58th in homers in baseball, and 28th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Betts has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
• Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.
• Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .359 with a double, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while batting .280.
• In all of the big leagues, Profar is 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI.
• Profar has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three walks and an RBI.
• Manny Machado has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 29 home runs and 105 runs batted in.
• Machado is 24th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and ninth in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks while batting .292.
• Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .314.

Padres Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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