Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will look to knock off Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET at PETCO Park. The Dodgers are listed as -116 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Padres (-103). Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set in this game.

The Dodgers will start Lance Lynn (7-9) versus the Padres and Rich Hill (7-10).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers	-116	-103	9.5	-103	-117	-1.5	+139	-165

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 6, Dodgers 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Dodgers 52%, Padres 48%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

The Dodgers have won 53, or 58.9%, of the 90 games they've played as favorites this season.
Los Angeles has a record of 51-35 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
The Padres have won in 10, or 37%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
The Padres have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

The Dodgers have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
The Dodgers' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	12
ERA	4.60
K/9	8.8

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Dodgers Player Insights

Freeman has put up a team-high batting average of .339 and leads the Dodgers in runs batted in (77).
Of all hitters in MLB, Freeman is 20th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
Mookie Betts has shown off his power as he paces his team with 29 home runs.
Betts is fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Betts has 12 games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .359 with five doubles, two home runs, six walks and three RBI.
Will Smith is batting .276 with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 51 walks.
Smith will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
Max Muncy is batting .193 with eight doubles, 27 home runs and 61 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kiké Hernández	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+140)
Will Smith	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Freddie Freeman	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
J.D. Martínez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	16
ERA	2.79
K/9	10.8

Padres Player Insights

Soto paces the Padres in home runs (24) and runs batted in (72).
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto ranks 16th in homers and 12th in RBI.
Soto has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .432 with a double, five home runs, five walks and 12 RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .264 with 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Tatis is 34th in home runs and 54th in RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-best batting average of .286.
Manny Machado is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, 21 home runs and 33 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+145)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+170)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+215)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+225)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+220)

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