Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Dodgers take on Xander Bogaerts and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET in the first game of a two-game series. The Dodgers are the favorite in this one, at -132, while the underdog Padres have +112 odds to win. Los Angeles (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run total is listed for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -132 +112 7.5 +102 -123 -1.5 +129 -154

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 52%, Padres 48%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 94 games this season and won 59 (62.8%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 50-29 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (52.2%) in those games.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by +112 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL (10)
LAD 5 · SD 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
San Diego Padres
SD

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers have a 6-1 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Dodgers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
  • The Dodgers have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 17
ERA 4.10
K/9 10.0

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Ohtani's 32 long balls and 76 RBI both lead the Dodgers, on top of his team-high .314 average.
  • Ohtani's home runs place him second in MLB, and he ranks fifth in RBI.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has 20 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 35 walks while batting .265.
  • Hernandez ranks 15th in home runs and 15th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Hernandez carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .256 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Andy Pages has 17 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks while hitting .244.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Andy Pages 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Will Smith 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)
Shohei Ohtani 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-140) 0.5 (+190) 0.5 (+110)
Gavin Lux 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+210)
Teoscar Hernández 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Padres have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 11
ERA 3.27
K/9 8.8

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar leads the Padres in home runs (18) and runs batted in (67).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Profar's home run total ranks 28th and his RBI tally is 17th.
  • Luis Arraez's .309 batting average paces his team.
  • Arraez is 288th in home runs and 205th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has 14 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .232.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .248 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 34 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 () 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+275)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+235)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+270)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+255)
David Peralta 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+265)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres
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