Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 1:00 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Max Muncy will square off against the San Diego Padres and Manny Machado at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday, with the first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET. The favored Dodgers have -142 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +120. Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 10:10 p.m. ET
Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers	-142	+120	7.5	-116	-104	-1.5	+151	-181

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Dodgers 53%, Padres 47%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

This season, the Dodgers have won 86 out of the 137 games, or 62.8%, in which they've been favored.
Los Angeles has a record of 63-38 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
The Padres have won in 29, or 54.7%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, San Diego has won nine of 19 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

The Dodgers played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
The Dodgers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	7.3
HR	21
ERA	5.17
K/9	9.8

Dodgers Player Insights

Shohei Ohtani's 53 round-trippers and 123 RBI both lead the Dodgers, on top of his team-high .301 average.
Ohtani's home runs rank him second in MLB, and he is second in RBI.
Ohtani carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .429 with four doubles, six home runs, four walks and 19 RBI.
Freddie Freeman is hitting .283 with 33 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
Freeman is 52nd in homers and 24th in RBI on the season.
Freeman has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
Mookie Betts is hitting .295 with 23 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 60 walks.
Betts has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
Teoscar Hernandez has 31 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 51 walks while batting .267.

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
The Padres have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	16
ERA	1.47
K/9	9.4

Padres Player Insights

Jurickson Profar is hitting .285 with 28 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks.
Profar is 41st in homers and 33rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Profar has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Machado been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
Among all MLB hitters, Machado ranks 23rd in homers and ninth in RBI.
Jackson Merrill has 29 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .292.
Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-high batting average of .318.