Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 10:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Jack Flaherty will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Padres are +114 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Dodgers (-134). Los Angeles (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8 runs for this matchup (with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -134 +114 8 -105 -115 -1.5 +158 -189

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 53%, Padres 47%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 138 times this season and won 86, or 62.3%, of those games.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 73 of its 114 games, or 64%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have been victorious in 30, or 55.6%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Diego has won 10 of 22 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SD 3 · LAD 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers went 6-3 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Dodgers' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.3
HR 20
ERA 4.91
K/9 9.8

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Shohei Ohtani has racked up a team-best batting average of .301, and paces the Dodgers in home runs (53) and runs batted in (123).
  • Ohtani is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Ohtani carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .463 with five doubles, six home runs, five walks and 19 RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .281 with 33 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
  • Freeman is 53rd in home runs and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Mookie Betts is hitting .293 with 23 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 60 walks.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has 32 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .269.
  • Hernandez takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+170)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+145)
Miguel Rojas 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+275)
Teoscar Hernández 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+175)
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 1-8-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 16
ERA 1.26
K/9 9.1

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar is hitting .285 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks.
  • Profar's home run total puts him 41st in the big leagues, and he is 34th in RBI.
  • Profar has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Manny Machado has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 29 home runs and 104 RBI.
  • Among all major league hitters, Machado ranks 23rd in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is hitting .292 with 29 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-leading batting average of .316.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+255)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+165)
Elias Díaz 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+300)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
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