Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 10:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Matt McLain and Max Muncy take the field when the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers meet on Friday at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are -219 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Reds (+182). Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Los Angeles Dodgers looking to Bobby Miller (6-1), and Brandon Williamson (2-2) taking the ball for the Cincinnati Reds.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Dodgers vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet LA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -219 +182 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 -112 -108

Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 56%, Reds 44%

Dodgers vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 49 out of the 84 games, or 58.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Los Angeles has won nine of its 15 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -219 on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 68.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Reds have won in 37, or 49.3%, of the 75 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won one of six games when listed as at least +182 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 35.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Dodgers are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 15
ERA 5.04
K/9 7.8

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Dodgers Player Insights

  • Freddie Freeman has racked up a team-high batting average of .330.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Freeman is second in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
  • Freeman takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .425 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has hit 27 home runs to pace his team.
  • Among all MLB batters, Betts is fifth in home runs and 12th in RBI.
  • Betts heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .195 with three doubles, eight walks and four RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .286 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Muncy is batting .197 with eight doubles, 25 home runs and 55 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Freddie Freeman 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+150)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+105)
Max Muncy 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+280) 0.5 (+140)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+125)
Will Smith 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Reds have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 16
ERA 3.64
K/9 8.8

Reds Player Insights

  • Spencer Steer has launched a team-high 14 home runs.
  • Steer's home run total places him 72nd in the majors, and he is 47th in RBI.
  • Jonathan India's 14 home runs are a team-high total.
  • India is currently 72nd in homers and 58th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Jake Fraley paces the Reds in home runs (14) and runs batted in (59).
  • TJ Friedl leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+210)
Will Benson 0.5 (-105) 0.5 (-105) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+300)
Jake Fraley 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+250)
Joey Votto 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+170)

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