Giants vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Giants vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The San Francisco Giants versus San Diego Padres game on Wednesday at 9:45 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in LaMonte Wade Jr and Juan Soto. The Giants are the favorite in this one, at -119, while the underdog Padres have -100 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +160 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -115 odds to hit the over and -105 odds on the under).

The Giants will give the ball to Sean Manaea (7-6) versus the Padres and Matt Waldron (1-3).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Giants-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Giants vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:45 PM ET
  • Where: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-BA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Giants -119 -100 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 -192 +160

Giants vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 8, Giants 7
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Giants 50%, Padres 50%

Giants vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won 43 out of the 80 games, or 53.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season San Francisco has won 38 of its 69 games, or 55.1%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 54.3% chance to win.
  • The Padres have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (32.5%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 9-18 when favored by -100 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

  • The Giants played as the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and finished 1-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Giants combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Giants' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 8
ERA 4.44
K/9 7.6

Giants Player Insights

  • Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with 22 round-trippers on the year. He's also hitting .284 with 57 RBI.
  • Wade is hitting .260 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 74 walks.
  • Wade is 119th in homers in baseball, and 188th in RBI.
  • Thairo Estrada paces the Giants with a .272 batting average.
  • J.D. Davis' 69 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Davis is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .214 with a double and a walk.

Giants Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joc Pederson 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+125)
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+165)
Wilmer Flores 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Thairo Estrada 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+175)
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Giants vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Padres have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 2.27
K/9 10.2

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has a team-leading 35 home runs and has driven in 108 runs.
  • Soto's home run total puts him 13th in MLB, and he is fourth in RBI.
  • Soto brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .524 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .264 with 33 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Tatis is 44th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 57th in RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres' lineup with a .283 batting average.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .255 with 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jose Azocar 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Mat Batten 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+180)
Luis Campusano 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+155)
Xander Bogaerts 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+185)
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