Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 7

Updated Jun. 7, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Bell and David Fry take the field when the Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians meet on Friday at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are listed as -104 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Guardians (-115). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -110 odds to go over and -110 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, June 7, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-115	-104	7.5	-110	-110	-1.5	+148	-177

Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Marlins 45%

Guardians vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have been favored 42 times and won 29, or 69%, of those games.
Cleveland has a record of 23-11, a 67.6% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Marlins have been victorious in 18, or 37.5%, of the 48 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Miami has a mark of 18-27 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 6-4 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
The Guardians' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	9
ERA	4.50
K/9	9.1

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 17 home runs and 60 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .276.
Of all batters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, three walks and four RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .224 with nine doubles, 16 home runs and 24 walks.
Naylor is seventh in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .269 with nine doubles, a triple, four home runs and 11 walks.
Fry is batting .336 with six doubles, eight home runs and 24 walks.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	5
ERA	4.03
K/9	7.4

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm is hitting .247 with 11 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 21 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .314.
Chisholm ranks 56th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Bell has a club-high 30 runs batted in and .255 batting average.
Among all MLB hitters, Bell is 102nd in homers and 57th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has 10 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Jesus Sanchez has six doubles, four home runs and 10 walks while hitting .246.