Guardians vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 20

Guardians vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 20

Updated May. 20, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor ready for the first of a three-game series against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Monday at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -125, while the underdog Mets have +105 odds to upset. Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets' 7-3 win over the Miami Marlins on Sunday, May 19th.

Guardians vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -125 +105 9 +100 -120 -1.5 +159 -192

Guardians vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 59%, Mets 41%

Guardians vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 19 (67.9%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland is 13-6 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 21 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (38.1%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win eight times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
NYM 1 · CLE 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians went 4-2 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Guardians have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 13
ERA 2.30
K/9 7.7

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has put up a team-high 41 runs batted in.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Ramirez is seventh in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor's 12 home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Naylor ranks sixth in home runs and 10th in RBI in the majors.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .277 with eight doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks.
  • Gimenez has at least one base hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .325 with a double, two home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Tyler Freeman has seven doubles, four home runs and 13 walks while hitting .222.
  • Freeman is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .303 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+195)
Tyler Freeman 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+205)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+125)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 1-4.
  • The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 6
ERA 4.94
K/9 7.7

Mets Player Insights

  • Brandon Nimmo has driven in the most runs for the Mets with 29 runs batted in.
  • Nimmo's home run total puts him 42nd in the majors, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has put up a team-high 10 home runs.
  • Alonso ranks 14th in homers and 56th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .197 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
  • Starling Marte leads the Mets with a team-leading batting average of .265.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+150)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+165)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+125)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets' 7-3 win over the Miami Marlins on Sunday, May 19th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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