Guardians vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Updated May. 21, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians will play Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Tuesday at Progressive Field, at 6:10 PM ET. The favored Guardians have -129 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +109. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game (with -118 odds on the over and -102 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians game on May 20, 2024.

Guardians vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-129	+109	9	-118	-102	-1.5	+154	-185

Guardians vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 3, Mets 2
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 64%, Mets 36%

Guardians vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have won 20 out of the 29 games, or 69%, in which they've been favored.
Cleveland has a record of 12-6, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -129 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Guardians have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (36.4%) in those games.
This season, New York has been victorious seven times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-1 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the total three times.
The Guardians' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	11
ERA	2.07
K/9	8.3

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez has a team-high 41 runs batted in.
Ramirez's home runs place him seventh in the majors, and he is third in RBI.
Josh Naylor has put his power on display as he leads his team with 12 home runs.
Naylor is sixth in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Andres Gimenez leads the Guardians with a .271 batting average.
Tyler Freeman has seven doubles, four home runs and 13 walks while batting .216.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+180)
Tyler Freeman	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+225)
Will Brennan	0.5 (-303)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
David Fry	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
José Ramírez	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+100)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 1-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	4.79
K/9	8.0

Mets Player Insights

Nimmo has a team-leading 29 runs batted in.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Nimmo's home run total ranks 43rd and his RBI tally is 26th.
Nimmo carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .150 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Pete Alonso's 10 home runs are a team-high total.
Alonso ranks 14th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Francisco Lindor has eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while hitting .193.
Starling Marte leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .262.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Tyrone Taylor	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+155)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+255)	0.5 (+135)
J.D. Martínez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+240)	0.5 (+105)