Guardians vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 22

Updated May. 22, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and J.D. Martinez hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians, on Wednesday at Progressive Field. The favored Guardians have -110 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at -109. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +144 odds). The total for the contest is set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the New York Mets took on the Cleveland Guardians in this regular season matchup.

Guardians vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Guardians vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Mets 42%

Guardians vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 21 out of the 30 games, or 70%, in which they've been favored.
• Cleveland has a record of 21-9, a 70% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (34.8%) in those games.
• New York has a mark of 8-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

NYM 3 · CLE 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-110

O 9

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

-111

U 9

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 6-1 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the run total three times.
• The Guardians' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Ramirez and his 12-dinger 44-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Ramirez's home run total ranks him sixth, and his RBI tally puts him first.
• Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three home runs and seven RBI.
• Josh Naylor's 12 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Naylor ranks sixth in home runs and 11th in RBI on the season.
• Andres Gimenez paces the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .265.
• Tyler Freeman is batting .218 with eight doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 1-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has swatted a team-high 10 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Alonso ranks 15th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .302 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has totaled 29 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Nimmo ranks 45th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .198 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Starling Marte paces the Mets with a .261 batting average.

Mets Team Props

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the New York Mets took on the Cleveland Guardians in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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