Guardians vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 31

Updated May. 31, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jesse Winker and the Washington Nationals take the field on Friday at Progressive Field against Tanner Bibee, who is projected to start for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Guardians have -227 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +188. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is listed for the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-227	+188	7.5	-117	-105	-1.5	-110	-110

Guardians vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Nationals 3
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Nationals 42%

Guardians vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have won 26 out of the 37 games, or 70.3%, in which they've been favored.
Cleveland has entered three games this season favored by -227 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
The Guardians have a 69.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Nationals have come away with 23 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Washington has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +188 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 34.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 8-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Guardians are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	6.3
HR	14
ERA	4.40
K/9	9.5

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez is the bat to watch in the Guardians lineup, leading the team in batting average (.271), home runs (16), and RBI (56).
In all of MLB, Ramirez is fourth in home runs and first in RBI.
Ramirez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .368 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
Josh Naylor has nine doubles, 15 home runs and 22 walks while batting .240.
Naylor is sixth in home runs in MLB, and seventh in RBI.
Naylor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .182 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Andres Gimenez leads the Guardians with a .271 batting average.
Gimenez has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a walk and two RBI.
David Fry is hitting .353 with five doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
Fry is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .368 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 6-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Nationals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	10
ERA	3.44
K/9	9.3

Nationals Player Insights

C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (26).
In all of the big leagues, Abrams ranks 35th in home runs and 64th in RBI.
Winker is hitting .239 with 10 doubles, six home runs and 26 walks.
Among all MLB batters, Winker ranks 87th in homers and 85th in RBI.
Luis Garcia leads the Nationals in runs batted in (26) and has a team-best batting average of .262.
Jacob Young is hitting .279 with seven doubles and seven walks.