Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Updated Aug. 1, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Colton Cowser and the Baltimore Orioles take the field on Thursday at Progressive Field against Ben Lively, who will start for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -115, while the underdog Orioles have -104 odds to play spoiler. Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +151 odds). A 9-run over/under has been listed in this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Toronto Blue Jays took on the Baltimore Orioles in this regular season matchup.
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Guardians vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -115 -104 9 -105 -115 -1.5 -181 +151

Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Orioles 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Orioles 48%

Guardians vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won 48, or 67.6%, of the 71 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has a record of 40-18 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
  • The Orioles have won in 14, or 60.9%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Baltimore has won nine of 16 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
BAL 3 · CLE 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Guardians have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3
HR 11
ERA 3.24
K/9 8.6

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 27 home runs and 87 runs batted in.
  • In all of the majors, Ramirez ranks sixth in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Josh Naylor is batting .241 with 17 doubles, 23 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Naylor is 12th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Naylor enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has racked up a team-high batting average of .332.
  • Lane Thomas has 16 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 32 walks while hitting .253.
  • Thomas takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .294 with three doubles, five walks and an RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Steven Kwan 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+250)
José Ramírez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+115)
Jhonkensy Noel 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+180)
Bo Naylor 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+260)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 9-1-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Orioles have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6
HR 14
ERA 4.85
K/9 8.5

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .285 batting average.
  • Henderson's home run total puts him fifth in the majors, and he is 23rd in RBI.
  • Henderson brings a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .243 with two doubles, a triple, eight walks and two RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 31 home runs with 73 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander ranks third in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .263 with 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .273 with 13 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+150)
Colton Cowser 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+180)
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-145) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+130)
Adley Rutschman 1.5 () 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Ryan O'Hearn 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)

José Ramírez smacks his second homer of the game, extending the Guardians' hefty lead over the Tigers

José Ramírez smacked his second homer of the game, extending the Cleveland Guardians' hefty lead over the Detroit Tigers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
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