Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET

The Cleveland Guardians and Jose Ramirez will hit the field against Ryan O'Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles at Progressive Field on Sunday, with the first pitch at 1:40 PM ET. The Orioles are -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Guardians (-117). Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total is set at 7.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Triston McKenzie (0-1), and Kyle Gibson (14-9) answering the bell for the Baltimore Orioles.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -117 -102 7.5 -112 -108 -1.5 -188 +158

Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Orioles 48%

Guardians vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 74 times this season and won 38, or 51.4%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 33-33, a 50% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 53.9% chance to win.
  • The Orioles have won in 43, or 57.3%, of the 75 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 38 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians went 2-3 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Guardians have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 8
ERA 3.82
K/9 9.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez provides the Guardians with a shot of both power and average, leading the team in home runs with 24 and hitting at .276. He has also driven in 80 runs this season.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is 49th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .274 with 35 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 68 walks.
  • Kwan is 306th in homers in MLB, and 143rd in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has accumulated a team-high 95 runs batted in.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .251 with 27 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .390 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Orioles had a record of 3-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 3.83
K/9 6.9

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .274 with 29 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 86 walks.
  • Rutschman is 95th in homers and 65th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Rutschman has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .300 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • Gunnar Henderson's 27 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Henderson ranks 31st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 45th in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander paces the Orioles in home runs (27) and runs batted in (91).
  • Austin Hays paces the Orioles with a .276 batting average.
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