Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians and Jose Ramirez will hit the field against Ryan O'Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles at Progressive Field on Sunday, with the first pitch at 1:40 PM ET. The Orioles are -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Guardians (-117). Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total is set at 7.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Triston McKenzie (0-1), and Kyle Gibson (14-9) answering the bell for the Baltimore Orioles.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-117	-102	7.5	-112	-108	-1.5	-188	+158

Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Orioles 48%

Guardians vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 74 times this season and won 38, or 51.4%, of those games.
Cleveland has a record of 33-33, a 50% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 53.9% chance to win.
The Orioles have won in 43, or 57.3%, of the 75 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious 38 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 2-3 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Guardians have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	8
ERA	3.82
K/9	9.8

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez provides the Guardians with a shot of both power and average, leading the team in home runs with 24 and hitting at .276. He has also driven in 80 runs this season.
Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is 49th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
Steven Kwan is batting .274 with 35 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 68 walks.
Kwan is 306th in homers in MLB, and 143rd in RBI.
Josh Naylor has accumulated a team-high 95 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .251 with 27 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .390 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Orioles had a record of 3-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	10
ERA	3.83
K/9	6.9

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .274 with 29 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 86 walks.
Rutschman is 95th in homers and 65th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Rutschman has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .300 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
Gunnar Henderson's 27 home runs are a team-high total.
Henderson ranks 31st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 45th in RBI.
Anthony Santander paces the Orioles in home runs (27) and runs batted in (91).
Austin Hays paces the Orioles with a .276 batting average.