Guardians vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Guardians vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Cleveland Guardians on Friday against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. The favored Guardians have -164 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +138. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +132 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -114 odds on the over and -106 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.
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Guardians vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -164 +138 7.5 -114 -106 -1.5 +132 -157

Guardians vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Padres 44%

Guardians vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 63 times and won 43, or 68.3%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (50%) in those games.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
SD 0 · CLE 7
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Guardians are 1-9-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3
HR 10
ERA 3.98
K/9 9.2

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez is the Guardians best power option, connecting on 23 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 77 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 45th in batting average, 68th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging.
  • Josh Naylor is hitting .246 with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Naylor is ninth in homers and fourth in RBI on the year.
  • Steven Kwan has accumulated a team-high batting average of .352.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .249 with 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.
  • Gimenez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with a walk and two RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Brennan 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+200)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
David Fry 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+220)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Padres have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 11
ERA 4.85
K/9 9.7

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar paces the Padres with 14 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 59.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Profar's home run total is 49th and his RBI tally ranks 23rd.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 19 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks while batting .257.
  • Cronenworth is currently 62nd in homers and 29th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Luis Arraez has a team-best batting average of .310.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 48 walks while batting .226.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+245)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+205)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+240)

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
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