Guardians vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Guardians vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor will hit the field against the San Diego Padres and Manny Machado on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET in the second game of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The Guardians are -116 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Padres (-104). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +160 odds). The contest's total is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians on Friday, July 19.
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Guardians vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -116 -104 7.5 -115 -106 -1.5 -194 +160

Guardians vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Padres 44%

Guardians vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 64 games this season and won 44 (68.8%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has a record of 35-16, a 68.6% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • The Padres have been victorious in 20, or 48.8%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win 18 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 7 · CLE 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have a 5-2 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Guardians are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 9
ERA 3.56
K/9 8.4

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has gone yard 23 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 79 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
  • Ramirez ranks sixth in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Naylor has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .243.
  • Naylor is ninth in home runs and fourth in RBI on the season.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .354.
  • Kwan is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a walk.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .247 with 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+155)
Steven Kwan 0.5 () 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+255)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Angel Martinez 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+250)
Bo Naylor 0.5 (+105) 0.5 (+105) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+295)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 2-3.
  • The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3
HR 9
ERA 5.20
K/9 9.3

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 14 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 59.
  • In all of the majors, Profar is 52nd in homers and 25th in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .260 with 19 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Cronenworth ranks 63rd in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Luis Arraez has racked up a team-best batting average of .312.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is batting .225 with 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 49 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
David Peralta 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+140) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)

Padres vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians on Friday, July 19.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
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