Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

Updated Aug. 30, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ben Lively takes the mound for the Cleveland Guardians on Friday at Progressive Field against Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -148, while the underdog Pirates have +125 odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +138 odds). An 8.5-run total has been listed for the contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Pirates highlights | MLB on FOX

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates highlights on Sunday, August 25th.
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Guardians vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 30, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -148 +125 8.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +138 -163

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Pirates 44%

Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have won 54 out of the 83 games, or 65.1%, in which they've been favored.
  • Cleveland has a record of 17-11, a 60.7% win rate, when favored by -148 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 59.7% chance to win.
  • The Pirates have won in 33, or 41.2%, of the 80 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 13 of 36 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
PIT 8 · CLE 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 5.14
K/9 7.4

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 33 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Ramirez is sixth in homers and second in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 20 doubles, 28 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .237.
  • Naylor is 12th in home runs in baseball, and eighth in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has put up a team-best batting average of .301.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .250 with 18 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 24 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+225)
David Fry 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+135)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+220)
José Ramírez 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+100)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 9
ERA 5.82
K/9 9.7

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .282, and paces the Pirates in home runs, with 21 and runs batted in with 74.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 36th and his RBI tally ranks 31st.
  • Reynolds carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Cruz has 31 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.
  • Cruz is 70th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .243 with 23 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .235 with 14 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 51 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+145)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+140)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+220)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+135)
Nick Gonzales 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+175)

Reds vs. Pirates highlights | MLB on FOX

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates highlights on Sunday, August 25th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
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