Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Updated Aug. 31, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Matthew Boyd and the Cleveland Guardians will take the field against the Pittsburgh Pirates and projected starter Luis Ortiz on Saturday at Progressive Field. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -195 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +162 moneyline odds. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup (with -108 odds on the over and -112 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays in this matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cleveland Guardians.
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Guardians vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -195 +162 8.5 -108 -112 -1.5 +109 -129

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 57%, Pirates 43%

Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won 55, or 65.5%, of the 84 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Cleveland has won five of its eight games when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 66.1% chance to win.
  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 81 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (40.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 38.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
PIT 3 · CLE 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Guardians are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 5.73
K/9 7.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 33 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Ramirez ranks sixth in homers and second in RBI.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .333 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Josh Naylor is hitting .240 with 21 doubles, 28 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Naylor is 12th in homers and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Naylor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .350 with two doubles, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .303 batting average.
  • Kwan has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .254 with 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.
  • Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a home run and two RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+120)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+205)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+120)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+210)
Andrés Giménez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 1-4 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 10
ERA 6.43
K/9 9.4

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 21 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .284.
  • Reynolds' home run total puts him 37th in the majors, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
  • Reynolds carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .400 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Oneil Cruz has 31 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 38 walks while batting .274.
  • Among all major league hitters, Cruz ranks 70th in homers and 44th in RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .242 with 23 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 15 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 51 walks while batting .238.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+175)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+245)
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+170)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+225)

Pirates vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays in this matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
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