Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 17

Updated Jul. 17, 2023 6:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Quinn Priester gets the nod for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at PNC Park against Andres Gimenez and the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -127 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +108 moneyline odds. Cleveland (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

The Guardians will give the ball to Xzavion Curry (3-0) versus the Pirates and Priester.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Guardians vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 17, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-127	+108	9	-114	-105	-1.5	+128	-151

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 28, or 56%, of those games.
Cleveland is 19-16 this season when entering a game favored by -127 or more on the moneyline.
The Guardians have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have been victorious in 29, or 39.7%, of the 73 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 26 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 48.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have a 3-1 record from the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
The Guardians have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	9
ERA	4.91
K/9	8.1

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Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 14 home runs.
Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 29th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
Steven Kwan is batting .270 with 22 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 40 walks.
Kwan ranks 299th in home runs in baseball, and 167th in RBI.
Kwan has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Josh Naylor paces the Guardians in runs batted in (66) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .311.
Naylor is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
Gimenez is hitting .240 with 14 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 19 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Myles Straw	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+160)	-	0.5 (+185)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+175)
José Ramírez	-	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+120)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+215)
Josh Naylor	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	6
ERA	4.65
K/9	8.8

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds is batting .264 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 31 walks.
In all of MLB, Reynolds ranks 136th in homers and 81st in RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .230 with 22 doubles, nine home runs and 40 walks.
Santana ranks 136th in home runs and 69th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Andrew McCutchen has put up a team-best batting average of .267.
Jack Suwinski has put up a team-leading 19 home runs and has driven in 48 runs.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+150)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+165)

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