Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2023 12:16 p.m. ET

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Ji-Man Choi and the Pittsburgh Pirates take the field on Wednesday at PNC Park against Aaron Civale, who gets the start for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch will be at 12:35 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The favored Guardians have -142 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +121. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Cleveland Guardians will give the start to Civale (3-2, 2.65 ERA), who is looking for win No. 4 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Rich Hill (7-9, 4.85 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Guardians vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Guardians 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities:

Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 29, or 56.9%, of those games.
• Cleveland has entered 23 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 14-9 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 29, or 39.2%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 21 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 4-1 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

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Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez is hitting .285 with 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
• Ramirez's home runs put him 56th in the majors, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
• Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Josh Naylor has hit 15 home runs with 75 RBI while batting .314. Those stats all lead his team.
• Naylor is 44th in homers and fourth in RBI on the season.
• Naylor carries a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .410 with four doubles, five home runs, three walks and 15 RBI.
• Steven Kwan has 24 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 41 walks while hitting .272.
• Kwan will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .245 with 14 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 20 walks.
• Gimenez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Carlos Santana has 22 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks while batting .232.
• In all of the majors, Santana ranks 141st in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds is batting .258 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 31 walks.
• Reynolds is currently 141st in homers and 86th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates' lineup with a .266 batting average.
• Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates in home runs (19) and runs batted in (48).

Pirates Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Guardians vs Pirates!

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