Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 1

Updated Sep. 1, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Sunday at Progressive Field against Mitch Keller, who is starting for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -154, while the underdog Pirates have +130 odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +144 odds). The matchup's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays in this matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 1:40 p.m. ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-154	+130	7.5	-112	-108	-1.5	+144	-173

Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Pirates 44%

Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Guardians have been favorites in 85 games this season and won 55 (64.7%) of those contests.
Cleveland has a record of 15-9, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 60.6% chance to win.
The Pirates have won in 34, or 41.5%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 12-22 when favored by +130 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	10
ERA	5.16
K/9	7.8

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (33) and runs batted in (104).
Including all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 35th in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
Josh Naylor is batting .241 with 22 doubles, 28 home runs and 51 walks.
Of all MLB hitters, Naylor is 13th in homers and third in RBI.
Naylor enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .350 with three doubles, a walk and six RBI.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .301.
Andres Gimenez is batting .252 with 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Will Brennan	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+230)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+235)
Andrés Giménez	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+210)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+120)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 1-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Pirates have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	10
ERA	6.43
K/9	9.3

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (21), runs batted in (74) and has posted a team-best batting average of .282.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total is 37th and his RBI tally is 34th.
Oneil Cruz has 31 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 38 walks while batting .276.
Cruz is currently 73rd in homers and 45th in RBI in the major leagues.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .238 with 15 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 52 walks.
Bryan De La Cruz is batting .240 with 23 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz	0.5 ()	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+160)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+265)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+100)	-	0.5 (+175)
Nick Gonzales	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+160)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-220)	1.5 ()	-	0.5 (+200)