Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians meet Corey Seager and the Texas Rangers at Progressive Field on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series. The Rangers are +104 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Guardians (-124). Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +172 odds). The total for the game is set at 8 runs.

The Guardians will give the ball to Tanner Bibee (10-4) versus the Rangers and Dane Dunning (10-6).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-124	+104	8	-101	-119	-1.5	+172	-207

Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction

Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Rangers 49%

Guardians vs. Rangers Betting Insights

The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 36, or 52.2%, of those games.
Cleveland has a record of 28-26 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
The Guardians have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Rangers have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (51.1%) in those contests.
Texas has a mark of 12-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 1-3 across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4
HR	9
ERA	3.71
K/9	9.1

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez supplies the Guardians with an injection of both power and average, leading the team in home runs with 23 and hitting at .276. He has also driven in 76 runs this season.
Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez ranks 51st in homers and 47th in RBI.
Ramirez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Steven Kwan is batting .272 with 32 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 62 walks.
Kwan ranks 304th in homers and 153rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Kwan carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
Naylor has racked up a team-best 91 runs batted in.
Naylor is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .450 with three doubles, a home run and six RBI.
Andres Gimenez is batting .242 with 25 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
Gimenez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, a home run and four RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 9-1-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Rangers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	15
ERA	5.87
K/9	9

Rangers Player Insights

Marcus Semien is batting .277 with 36 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks.
Among all hitters in the majors, Semien is 44th in homers and 30th in RBI.
Seager's .341 batting average leads his team.
Seager is 14th overall in home runs and 17th in RBI this season.
Nate Lowe is batting .276 with 37 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 87 walks.
Jonah Heim is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 32 walks.