Guardians vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians will try to get to Ryan Pepiot when he takes the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Guardians as -141 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rays +119 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

Guardians vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 12, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Guardians vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Rays 44%

Guardians vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 60, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 27-14, a 65.9% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
• The Rays have come away with 34 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 12 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

TB 5 · CLE 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+119

O 7.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-142

U 7.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Guardians are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Ramirez and his 34-home-run 106-RBI season, both team highs.
• Ramirez ranks ninth in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double and three walks.
• Josh Naylor has 25 doubles, 29 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .244.
• Naylor ranks 19th in home runs and sixth in RBI in the majors.
• Steven Kwan has put up a team-best batting average of .290.
• Kwan has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with six walks.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .255 with 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.
• Gimenez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with an RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz has put up a team-leading batting average of .281 while leading the Rays in runs batted in with a mark of 65.
• Diaz's home run total puts him 125th in the big leagues, and he ranks 69th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Christopher Morel's 21 home runs are a team-high total.
• Morel ranks 49th overall in homers and 100th in RBI this year.
• Brandon Lowe is hitting .245 with 19 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
• Jose Caballero has 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks while batting .231.

Rays Team Props

Royals vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians game on August 27th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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