Guardians vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14

Updated Sep. 14, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays will play on Saturday at Progressive Field, at 6:10 p.m. ET, with Jose Ramirez and Yandy Diaz -- two hot hitters -- expected to step up at the plate. The Rays are +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Guardians (-140). Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +152 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rays vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 6:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Guardians vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Rays 45%

Guardians vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Guardians have won 60, or 65.2%, of the 92 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cleveland has entered 43 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 27-16 in those contests.
• The Guardians have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 79 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (45.6%) in those games.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 13-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

TB 1 · CLE 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+118

O 8

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-139

U 8

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 4-2 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.
• The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Ramirez and his 34-homer 106-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Ramirez's home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally puts him second.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .200 with two doubles, five walks and an RBI.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .242 with 25 doubles, 29 home runs and 54 walks.
• Naylor is 19th in homers and eighth in RBI on the year.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .291.
• Kwan will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .313 with seven walks.
• Andres Gimenez has 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks while hitting .253.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Rays had a record of 5-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz leads the Rays with 65 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .284.
• Diaz is 128th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Diaz has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .529 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Christopher Morel has shown off his power as he leads his team with 21 home runs.
• Among all major league batters, Morel ranks 49th in homers and 103rd in RBI.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .244 with 19 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 33 walks.
• Jose Caballero is hitting .232 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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