Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 23

Updated Apr. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox will hit the field against the Cleveland Guardians and starter Ben Lively on Tuesday. First pitch is at 6:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -119, while the underdog Red Sox have +100 odds to upset. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under is set for the matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Oakland Athletics and the Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Red Sox 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Red Sox 42%

Guardians vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won nine out of the 13 games, or 69.2%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Cleveland has won eight of its 10 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win six times (50%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 1 · CLE 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+105

O 8

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-125

U 8

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians were favored on the moneyline for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Guardians' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Josh Naylor has gone yard six times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 20 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
• Naylor ranks fifth in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Naylor brings a hitting streak of nine games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .358 to lead his team.
• Of all major league batters, Kwan ranks 104th in home runs and 164th in RBI.
• Jose Ramirez is hitting .239 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and two walks.
• Ramirez has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a walk and five RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has five doubles, a triple and four walks while hitting .280.
• Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a walk and six RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 4-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .281.
• In all of the big leagues, Duran is 172nd in homers and 118th in RBI.
• O'Neill has shown off his power as he paces his team with seven home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, O'Neill ranks third in homers and 137th in RBI.
• Masataka Yoshida has collected a team-high 10 runs batted in.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .280 with five doubles, a home run and nine walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Oakland Athletics and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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