Guardians vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Tanner Bibee will start for the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday at Progressive Field against Jonathan India and the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET for the first game of a two-game series. Bookmakers list the Guardians as -166 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Reds +140 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +128 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup (with -114 odds to hit the over and -106 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the St. Louis Cardinals.

Guardians vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-166	+140	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+128	-154

Guardians vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Reds 3
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Reds 45%

Guardians vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Guardians have won 63, or 64.9%, of the 97 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cleveland is 11-8 this season when entering a game favored by -166 or more on the moneyline.
The Guardians have a 62.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (46%) in those games.
Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 9-10 when favored by +140 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians were favored on the moneyline for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	12
ERA	1.80
K/9	9.6

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has gone yard 37 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 112 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
Ramirez's home runs place him seventh in MLB, and he ranks third in RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .240 with 26 doubles, 31 home runs and 56 walks.
Naylor ranks 15th in homers in baseball, and seventh in RBI.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .257 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.
Gimenez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Lane Thomas is hitting .241 with 26 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 3-4.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Reds are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	10
ERA	5.22
K/9	9.4

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz has swatted a team-leading 25 long balls.
Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz is 33rd in home runs and 50th in RBI.
Spencer Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds with 91 runs batted in.
Steer ranks 72nd in homers and 23rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
India has 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 76 walks while batting .247.
Tyler Stephenson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .262.