Guardians vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Guardians vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and Elly De La Cruz will be among the stars on display when the Cleveland Guardians face the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at Progressive Field. The Guardians are -190 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Reds (+159). Cleveland (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game (with -105 odds to go over and -117 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -190 +159 8.5 -105 -117 -1.5 +109 -129

Guardians vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Reds 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Reds 45%

Guardians vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won 63, or 64.9%, of the 97 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has a record of 8-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -190 on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Reds have come away with 40 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won six of nine games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
CIN 1 · CLE 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians were favored on the moneyline for six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
  • The Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 12
ERA 1.80
K/9 9.6

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez is the Guardians best power option, launching 37 homers this season in addition to collecting 112 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 33rd in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
  • Josh Naylor has 26 doubles, 31 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .240.
  • Naylor is 15th in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .257 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.
  • Gimenez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Lane Thomas is batting .241 with 26 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+130)
Angel Martinez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+190)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+155)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+175)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Reds have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 5.22
K/9 9.4

Reds Player Insights

  • De La Cruz has swatted a team-high 25 home runs.
  • De La Cruz's home run total puts him 33rd in MLB, and he ranks 50th in RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has put up 91 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Steer is 73rd in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Jonathan India is batting .247 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 76 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .262.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+170)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+190)
Ty France 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
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