Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Updated Jul. 24, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Steven Kwan and Bobby Witt Jr. will be among the stars on display when the Cleveland Guardians face the Kansas City Royals on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -204, while the underdog Royals have +173 odds to upset. Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's total has been listed at 9 runs.

The Guardians will give the ball to Logan Allen (4-2) against the Royals and Ryan Yarbrough (2-5).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-204	+173	9	-106	-114	-1.5	-106	-114

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 3
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 59%, Royals 41%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 52 times this season and won 29, or 55.8%, of those games.
Cleveland has entered six games this season favored by -204 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.
The Guardians have a 67.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Royals have come away with 25 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has come away with a win eight times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +173 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 36.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have a 1-2 record across the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
The Guardians have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	14
ERA	4.55
K/9	9.6

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Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez is batting .288 with 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
Among all batters in MLB, Ramirez is 66th in home runs and 37th in RBI.
Kwan is batting .275 with 25 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 42 walks.
Kwan is 281st in home runs and 153rd in RBI on the season.
Josh Naylor has racked up a team-high .310 batting average, while leading the Guardians in home runs (15) and runs batted in (76).
Andres Gimenez is hitting .241 with 14 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 20 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+130)
Josh Bell	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+135)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+150)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+200)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-8.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	11
ERA	4.97
K/9	7.8

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .253, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 51.
Among all batters in MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 44th in home runs and 55th in RBI.
Salvador Perez has a team-best 16 home runs.
Perez ranks 44th overall in home runs and 103rd in RBI this year.
Edward Olivares is batting .250 with 13 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
Maikel Garcia is batting .279 with 13 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)
Matt Duffy	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+260)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+205)
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+145)

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