Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians play Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals at Progressive Field on Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -206 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +173 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

The Guardians will start Aaron Civale (3-2) versus the Royals and Zack Greinke (1-10).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-206	+173	9	-105	-115	-1.5	-101	-119

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Royals 42%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Guardians have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 29 (54.7%) of those contests.
Cleveland has a record of 2-5 when favored by -206 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Royals have been victorious in 26, or 29.5%, of the 88 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a mark of 9-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +173 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 36.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 1-2 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
The Guardians have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5
HR	14
ERA	4.55
K/9	9.4

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Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez is hitting .285 with 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
Ramirez's home runs put him 66th in MLB, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
Steven Kwan has 25 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 42 walks while hitting .271.
Of all MLB hitters, Kwan is 281st in home runs and 153rd in RBI.
Josh Naylor has put up a team-high .309 batting average, and leads the Guardians in home runs (15) and runs batted in (76).
Andres Gimenez is hitting .241 with 14 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 20 walks.
Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a home run and two RBI.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+150)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+205)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+145)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+165)
José Ramírez	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 3-7 in those contests.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	4.66
K/9	6.6

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 51 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .255.
Among all hitters in the majors, Witt Jr. ranks 46th in home runs and 58th in RBI.
Witt Jr. has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double.
Perez has racked up a team-high 17 home runs.
Perez is 32nd in home runs and 92nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Edward Olivares is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .279 with 13 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+130)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+135)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+235)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+195)

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