Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and Salvador Perez will be among the star attractions when the Cleveland Guardians face the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field. The favored Guardians have -201 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +167. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -106 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 10.5 runs.

The Cleveland Guardians will hand the ball to Gavin Williams (1-2, 3.74 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Alec Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-201	+167	10.5	-109	-112	-1.5	-106	-114

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 3
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Royals 42%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Guardians have won 30, or 55.6%, of the 54 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cleveland has a record of 3-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -201 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 66.8%.
The Royals have been underdogs in 89 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (29.2%) in those contests.
This year, Kansas City has won 10 of 32 games when listed as at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 37.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 2-2 across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	14
ERA	3.38
K/9	9.2

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Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez is hitting .285 with 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
Among all batters in the majors, Ramirez is 68th in home runs and 37th in RBI.
Steven Kwan is batting .271 with 25 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 42 walks.
Kwan is 282nd in homers in the majors, and 157th in RBI.
Josh Naylor has racked up a team-best .306 batting average, and paces the Guardians in home runs (15) and runs batted in (76).
Amed Rosario is batting .260 with 19 doubles, six triples, three home runs and 22 walks.
Rosario has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple and an RBI.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Bell	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+135)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+190)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)
Josh Naylor	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+100)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-7.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Royals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4
HR	12
ERA	4.81
K/9	6

Royals Player Insights

The Royals are led in runs batted in by Bobby Witt Jr. with a mark of 51, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .253.
Witt Jr. is 47th in homers and 63rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Perez's 17 home runs lead his team.
Perez is 33rd in home runs and 93rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Edward Olivares is batting .247 with 14 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .275 with 13 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+210)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+270)	0.5 (+105)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+170)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+120)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)

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