Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Royals and Freddy Fermin hit the field in the second game of a four-game series against Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians on Friday at Kauffman Stadium. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -111 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals -108 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under has been listed at 9.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Seattle Mariners took on the Kansas City Royals in this regular season matchup.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-111	-108	9.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+139	-167

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Royals 49%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have won 36 out of the 52 games, or 69.2%, in which they've been favored.
This season Cleveland has won 35 of its 51 games, or 68.6%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (46%) in those games.
This year, Kansas City has won 22 of 48 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 5-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
The Guardians' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	16
ERA	3.58
K/9	8.9

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has put up a team-high batting average of .278, and paces the Guardians in home runs (21) and runs batted in (72).
Including all MLB batters, Ramirez is 36th in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
Naylor is hitting .237 with 12 doubles, 20 home runs and 29 walks.
Naylor is seventh in homers in baseball, and sixth in RBI.
Steven Kwan is hitting .373 with 13 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.
Andres Gimenez has 11 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks while batting .242.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brayan Rocchio	0.5 (-245)	-	-	-
Daniel Schneemann	0.5 (-255)	-	-	-
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-275)	-	-	-

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.3
HR	8
ERA	3.60
K/9	8.9

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (12), runs batted in (53) and has a team-high batting average of .310.
Among all batters in the majors, Witt's home run total is 41st and his RBI tally is 14th.
Witt brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, a triple and a walk.
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .233 with 21 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 31 walks.
Pasquantino is 104th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Maikel Garcia is batting .232 with 14 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 26 walks.
Salvador Perez has a team-best 12 home runs.