Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take on Michael Massey and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -162 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +138 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at -103 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Logan Allen (7-7), and Steven Cruz answering the bell for the Kansas City Royals.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-162	+138	9.5	-116	-104	-1.5	-103	-118

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Royals 49%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 37, or 52.1%, of those games.
Cleveland has a record of 11-10, a 52.4% win rate, when favored by -162 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Royals have come away with 41 wins in the 128 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious 24 times in 83 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Guardians have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	10
ERA	3.31
K/9	8.6

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez has a team-best batting average of .277, and paces the Guardians in home runs (24).
Ramirez's home runs put him 47th in the majors, and he is 47th in RBI.
Ramirez carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with two doubles, three home runs, six walks and six RBI.
Steven Kwan has 33 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 64 walks while hitting .273.
Kwan is 303rd in homers and 148th in RBI on the season.
Josh Naylor has a team-best 91 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .246 with 26 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
Gimenez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with a double, a home run and six RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	9
ERA	5.44
K/9	7.7

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .278, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 90.
Witt Jr.'s home run total places him 21st in the big leagues, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
Maikel Garcia has 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 35 walks while batting .272.
Garcia is 327th in homers and 162nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
MJ Melendez is batting .233 with 28 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 55 walks.
Edward Olivares is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 20 walks.