Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take on Michael Massey and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -162 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +138 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at -103 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Logan Allen (7-7), and Steven Cruz answering the bell for the Kansas City Royals.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -162 +138 9.5 -116 -104 -1.5 -103 -118

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Royals 49%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 37, or 52.1%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 11-10, a 52.4% win rate, when favored by -162 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • The Royals have come away with 41 wins in the 128 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious 24 times in 83 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Guardians have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 10
ERA 3.31
K/9 8.6

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez has a team-best batting average of .277, and paces the Guardians in home runs (24).
  • Ramirez's home runs put him 47th in the majors, and he is 47th in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with two doubles, three home runs, six walks and six RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has 33 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 64 walks while hitting .273.
  • Kwan is 303rd in homers and 148th in RBI on the season.
  • Josh Naylor has a team-best 91 runs batted in.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .246 with 26 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Gimenez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with a double, a home run and six RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 9
ERA 5.44
K/9 7.7

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .278, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 90.
  • Witt Jr.'s home run total places him 21st in the big leagues, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
  • Maikel Garcia has 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 35 walks while batting .272.
  • Garcia is 327th in homers and 162nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • MJ Melendez is batting .233 with 28 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Edward Olivares is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 20 walks.
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