Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2023 2:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr. take the field at Kauffman Stadium against Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -151, while the underdog Royals have +128 odds to play spoiler. Cleveland (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for the matchup.

The Guardians will give the ball to Lucas Giolito (8-13) against the Royals and Zack Greinke (1-15).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-151	+128	9	+108	-130	-1.5	+109	-130

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 50%, Royals 50%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have won 37 out of the 72 games, or 51.4%, in which they've been favored.
Cleveland has a record of 16-12, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Royals have been victorious in 42, or 32.6%, of the 129 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Kansas City has won 32 of 98 games when listed as at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 1-4 over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Guardians are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	11
ERA	3.66
K/9	8.4

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez supplies the Guardians with a supply of both power and average, leading the team in big flies with 24 and hitting at .277. He has also driven in 78 runs this season.
In all of Major League Baseball, Ramirez ranks 47th in homers and 49th in RBI.
Ramirez has collected a hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with two doubles, three home runs, six walks and six RBI.
Kwan is batting .275 with 34 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 67 walks.
Kwan ranks 303rd in home runs and 140th in RBI in the major leagues.
Josh Naylor has sent home a team-best 93 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .247 with 26 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
Gimenez is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with a double, a triple, a home run and seven RBI.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Royals are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	9
ERA	5.38
K/9	7.6

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .277, while pacing the Royals in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 90.
Among all hitters in the majors, Witt Jr.'s home run total is 21st and his RBI tally is 28th.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .276 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 35 walks.
Garcia ranks 328th in home runs and 163rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
MJ Melendez has 28 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .235.
Edward Olivares is hitting .265 with 21 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 21 walks.