Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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The Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers to start the ALDS on Saturday at 1:08 p.m. ET, live on TBS from Progressive Field. The Tigers are +118 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Guardians (-139). Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). The total is 7 runs for the contest (with +100 odds to hit the over and -120 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 1:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Tigers 46%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 101 times this season and won 65, or 64.4%, of those games.
• This season Cleveland has won 31 of its 51 games, or 60.8%, when favored by at least -139 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Tigers have come away with 48 wins in the 96 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Detroit has a mark of 20-29 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

DET 0 · CLE 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Detroit Tigers

DET

+1.5

+117

O 6.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-138

U 6.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Guardians have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez has put up a team-best 39 home runs and 118 runs batted in.
• Ramirez ranks fifth in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .243.
• Naylor ranks 18th in homers and eighth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Steven Kwan has accumulated a team-best batting average of .292.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .252 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• The Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Tigers have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene leads the Tigers in home runs (24), runs batted in (74) and has put up a team-best batting average of .262.
• Among all batters in the majors, Greene is 42nd in home runs and 61st in RBI.
• Matt Vierling is hitting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
• Vierling ranks 117th overall in homers and 126th in RBI this year.
• Colt Keith has 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks while batting .260.
• Kerry Carpenter has 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks while batting .284.

Tigers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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