Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9
Game 3 of the ALDS on Wednesday will feature the Cleveland Guardians traveling to take on the Detroit Tigers. The teams will look to break the 1-1 series deadlock when action begins at 3:08 p.m. ET on TBS, live from Comerica Park. The Guardians have been listed as -113 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Tigers (-107). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for the contest.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | -113 | -107 | 7.5 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 | +155 | -185 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 66 out of the 102 games, or 64.7%, in which they've been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 60-32, a 65.2% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Guardians have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Tigers have won in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 44 times in 93 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
- The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 1.82 |
K/9 | 9.4 |
Guardians Player Insights
- The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 39-homer 118-RBI season, both team highs.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is fifth in homers and third in RBI.
- Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
- Naylor ranks 18th in homers in baseball, and eighth in RBI.
- Naylor enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
- Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .292 batting average.
- Kwan will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a double, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
- Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.
Guardians Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+275) |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
José Ramírez | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
Will Brennan | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-170) | - | 0.5 (+245) |
Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 2-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 7-3 |
Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
HR | 5 |
ERA | 2.83 |
K/9 | 7.8 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Riley Greene leads the squad with a batting average of .262, and paces the Tigers in home runs, with 24 and runs batted in with 74.
- Among all batters in the majors, Greene's home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally is 61st.
- Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
- Vierling is 117th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 126th in RBI.
- Colt Keith is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
- Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.
Tigers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Vierling | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
Colt Keith | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
Trey Sweeney | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-205) | - | 0.5 (+225) |
Riley Greene | 0.5 (-210) | 0.5 (-210) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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