Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 11:00 p.m. ET

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The Cleveland Guardians will visit the Detroit Tigers in the fourth game of the ALDS on Thursday at 6:08 p.m. ET, live on Max from Comerica Park. The Guardians hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -118 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers -102 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +150 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Spencer Torkelson hits RBI double to seal Tigers' 3-0 victory over Guardians, taking 2-1 series lead

Spencer Torkelson hit an RBI double to help the Detroit Tigers seal a 3-0 victory over the Cleveland Guardians, and took a 2-1 series lead.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 6:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Tigers 45%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 66 out of the 103 games, or 64.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Cleveland has entered 82 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 55-27 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 54.1% chance to win.
• The Tigers have been underdogs in 98 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (50%) in those contests.
• Detroit has a mark of 39-45 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Thu 10:08 PM

TNT

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-118

O 6.5

Detroit Tigers

DET

+1.5

-102

U 6.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 3-4 across the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.
• The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez is the Guardians best power hitter, launching 39 round-trippers this season in addition to collecting 118 RBI, both team highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Ramirez ranks 27th in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while batting .243.
• Naylor ranks 18th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Naylor has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Steven Kwan has a team-high batting average of .292.
• Kwan will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .438 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while hitting .252.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 3-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Tigers have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 24 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .262.
• Greene ranks 42nd in home runs and 61st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Vierling is hitting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Vierling ranks 117th in home runs and 126th in RBI.
• Colt Keith is batting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Spencer Torkelson hits RBI double to seal Tigers' 3-0 victory over Guardians, taking 2-1 series lead

Spencer Torkelson hit an RBI double to help the Detroit Tigers seal a 3-0 victory over the Cleveland Guardians, and took a 2-1 series lead.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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