Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

Updated Oct. 10, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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The ALDS rolls on Thursday at 6:08 p.m. ET when the Cleveland Guardians visit the Detroit Tigers live on Max from Comerica Park. The Tigers would advance to the ALCS with a Game 4 win while the Guardians hope to force a winner-take-all Game 5. The Tigers are listed as +104 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Guardians (-123). Cleveland (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's total has been listed at 6.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 6:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 103 times this season and won 66, or 64.1%, of those games.
• Cleveland has entered 79 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 53-26 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Tigers have come away with 49 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Detroit has a mark of 33-42 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

CLE 5 · DET 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-125

O 6.5

Detroit Tigers

DET

+1.5

+105

U 6.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have a 3-4 record over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Guardians have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 39-dinger 118-RBI season, both team highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 27th in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
• Naylor is 18th in homers and eighth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Naylor carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-best batting average of .292.
• Kwan will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .438 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 3-1 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Tigers have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene paces the Tigers with 24 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .262.
• Greene's home run total puts him 42nd in MLB, and he is 61st in RBI.
• Matt Vierling has 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks while batting .257.
• Vierling is currently 117th in home runs and 126th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Colt Keith is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Kerry Carpenter is hitting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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