Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 10

Updated Jul. 10, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will look to find success Reese Olson when he starts for the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET, in the third game of a four-game series at Comerica Park. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -147 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers +123 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 7.5 runs for this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians' Brayan Rocchio makes a risky error, causing Tigers' Jake Rodgers to score

Cleveland Guardians' Brayan Rocchio made a risky error, causing Detroit Tigers' Jake Rodgers to score.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-147	+123	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+117	-139

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Tigers 49%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have been favored 61 times and won 42, or 68.9%, of those games.
This season Cleveland has won 13 of its 21 games, or 61.9%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Tigers have been victorious in 22, or 44%, of the 50 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Detroit has a win-loss record of 4-10 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and finished 6-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Guardians have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	12
ERA	4.65
K/9	9.5

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 23 home runs and 77 runs batted in.
Ramirez is fourth in homers and second in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Josh Naylor is hitting .247 with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
Naylor is seventh in homers and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .363 batting average.
Andres Gimenez has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks while batting .248.
Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double and five RBI.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+210)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-215)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+230)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+130)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+140)
David Fry	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Tigers had a record of 5-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Tigers have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	19
ERA	4.54
K/9	9.5

Tigers Player Insights

Riley Greene leads the Tigers in home runs (17), runs batted in (45) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .257.
Among all hitters in MLB, Greene's home run total is 18th and his RBI tally ranks 49th.
Matthew Vierling is hitting .244 with 11 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 15 walks.
Vierling is 80th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 116th in RBI.
Mark Canha is hitting .223 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 36 walks.
Wenceel Perez is batting .261 with 11 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 20 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gio Urshela	1.5 ()	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+195)
Matthew Vierling	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Wenceel Perez	0.5 (-215)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+275)
Colten Keith	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-215)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)